Donald Trump projected to win NY GOP PrimaryComments Off on Donald Trump projected to win NY GOP Primary
Donald Trump took the early win Tuesday in New York, as expected, projected to win the Republican presidential primary.
Both CNN and AP are projecting Trump to win the New York primary. Meanwhile the Democratic race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders is very close so far.
The polls closed at 9 p.m. Projections are based on exit polling.
- 95 Republican delegates, 247 pledged Democratic delegates up for grabs
- GOP candidates have a chance to trigger a winner-take-all function for delegates in each other districts and at the statewide level if they get 50 percent of the vote
- Democratic delegates divvied up proportionally
The primary today is not without controversy, however. New York City’s comptroller is ordering an audit of the city’s Board of Elections.
The board has confirmed that more than 125,000 voters were removed from the voting rolls in Brooklyn. There are also reports of voters having trouble accessing polling sites.
“The people of New York City have lost confidence that the Board of Elections can effectively administer elections and we intend to find out why the BOE is so consistently disorganized, chaotic and inefficient," said Comptroller Scott Stringer. "With four elections in New York City in 2016 alone, we don’t have a moment to spare.”
Other voting problems include numerous complaints about inadequate and underprepared poll workers; an erroneous letter sent to voters telling them the primary was in September, not April; broken voting machines and polling locations not open in time.
A lawsuit has already been filed against the state for the inexplicable purging of Democratic voters from the rolls between November 2015 and April 2016. The lawsuit calls for the immediate restoration of voting rights for those who have been barred from the polls.
A guide to what to watch on Tuesday night as the New York primary vote rolls in:
Polls close at 9 p.m. EDT. Counties typically report their votes quickly, so expect about half the total vote to be counted and released within the first hour after polls close. Upstate counties usually are the first to report, with New York City boroughs following. Based on past voting patterns, New York City should represent about half of the Democratic primary vote, and about 13 percent of the Republican primary vote. Overall, about 90 percent of the statewide vote should be counted by 11 p.m. The choices on at least two ballots were known well in advance: New Yorkers Trump and Clinton cast their ballots early, with Trump taking note of this remarkable election year by observing, "Who would’ve thought."
The big question for Trump is how big and broad a home-state victory he can claim. Trump needs both a lopsided vote count and well-distributed support geographically to scoop up enough of New York’s 95 delegates to preserve his slim chance of locking up the Republican nomination before the GOP convention. If he wins 50 percent of the statewide vote, he gets all 14 statewide delegates. Otherwise, he has to share them with other candidates. Similarly, in each of the state’s 27 congressional districts, if a candidate gets 50 percent of the vote, he wins all three of that district’s delegates.
With Clinton running ahead of Sanders in pre-primary polls in New York, her goal is to claim a big enough delegate haul to boost the idea that her nomination is inevitable. Heading into Tuesday’s vote, Sanders needed to claim 68 percent of remaining delegates to derail Clinton. Even after a string of recent victories in primaries and caucuses, Sanders can’t afford to lose even a small bit of ground.
Does Trump use his election-night appearance to continue stomping his feet about "rigged" GOP delegate rules or switch to a more positive, unifying message for Republicans? The man whose candidacy has upended presidential politics has faced nothing but bad news since the lead-up to Wisconsin’s primary two weeks ago, where he lost to Cruz by 13 percentage points.
Does Clinton use her Times Square primary-night appearance to take on Trump and the Republicans, or spend more time fending off Sanders’ persistent criticisms of her as an uninspired candidate too beholden to Wall Street and corporate interests? She’s itching to leave Sanders behind and get on to the main event.
Clinton’s challenger will spend Tuesday night campaigning at Penn State, working to ignite his loyal following among younger voters. Will he acknowledge the New York results, or press the argument that his liberal agenda is more than the pie-in-the-sky fantasy that Clinton suggests?
Exit polls will tell a lot about where voters’ heads are in this anything-but-typical election year. Are Republicans excited to vote for their favored candidate, or more nervous about the alternatives? In both parties, are people willing to vote for any of their party’s candidates in November, or will they consider defecting if their candidate doesn’t win?
The man who mocked "New York values" earlier in the campaign would be thrilled to scrape together a third of New York’s delegates. He’s campaigned recently upstate, and in the Bronx and Brooklyn. He’ll be watching the returns from Pennsylvania, which votes next week.
Ohio’s governor would be satisfied to pick off a few delegates in targeted areas, such as Buffalo, the Hudson Valley and Long Island. Kasich already is looking past New York: He’ll spend Tuesday night at a town hall-style meeting in Maryland, which also votes next week.
Associated Press writers Jill Colvin in New York and Ken Thomas and Emily Swanson in Washington contributed to this report.