Tropical Depression 9 remains poorly organized heading into gulfComments Off on Tropical Depression 9 remains poorly organized heading into gulf
(Note: Last updated 6:15 a.m.)
Tropical Depression Nine is poorly organized this morning.
It is near the northwest coast of Cuba and will be moving farther into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by tonight.
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A NOAA reconnaissance aircraft has been investigating the depression, about 150 miles west-southwest of Key West, and was helpful in locating the low level center. They also found that the winds are still 35 mph.
However, it could become a tropical storm later today or tonight.
The system is expected to remain over the south central Gulf of Mexico through Tuesday evening, with additional strengthening.
It will move west to west-northwest today then turn northwest to north around the western edge of a ridge on Tuesday.
After that time, a trough should begin to steer it northeast at a faster speed. While most computer models show it turning northeast in the Gulf of Mexico toward Florida they are not in agreement on the timing or intensity of the storm.
In fact, there is low confidence in the intensity of the storm at this time.
An area of deep moisture across Florida will lead to high rain chances this week. There is the threat of heavy rainfall and possible flooding issues, especially in areas that receive several rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms this week.
No watches or warnings have been issued at this time.
Remember that the spaghetti model plot does not indicate the strength of a system or even development at all. It only predicts where this broad area of low pressure is expected to go.
Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Eight is in the Atlantic Ocean about 230 miles Southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina.
It is expected to become a tropical storm by tonight and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the coast of North Carolina from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet.
Hurricane Gaston is in the Atlantic Ocean and drifting northward. A turn toward the northeast is expected on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph. Gaston is a category 3 hurricane. Slow weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.